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El Pollo Loco

El Pollo Loco's net profit rose 19.0% yoy to USD 29.1 mil in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco made a net profit of USD 29.1 mil with revenues of USD 454 mil in 2021, up by 19% and up by 6.64%, re...

El Pollo Loco's price/earnings (P/E) fell 34.6% yoy to 17.5 in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco stock traded at USD 14.0 per share at the end 2021 translating into a market capitalization of USD 643 mil. Since t...

El Pollo Loco's P/FCF fell 35.5% yoy to 16.2 in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco stock traded at USD 14.0 per share at the end 2021 translating into a market capitalization of USD 643 mil. Sinc...

Profit Statement 2019 2020 2021
Sales USD mil 442 426 454
Gross Profit USD mil 124 120 132
EBITDA USD mil 81.2 75.0 80.3
EBIT USD mil 38.3 33.6 41.3
Financing Cost USD mil 3.69 3.29 1.82
Pre-Tax Profit USD mil 34.6 30.1 39.5
Net Profit USD mil 24.9 24.5 29.1
Dividends USD mil 0 0 0
Balance Sheet 2019 2020 2021
Total Assets USD mil 625 605 614
Non-Current Assets USD mil 600 574 564
Current Assets USD mil 24.7 31.7 49.5
Working Capital USD mil 4.89 4.59 5.10
Shareholders' Equity USD mil 246 278 311
Liabilities USD mil 379 328 303
Total Debt USD mil 311 263 233
Net Debt USD mil 303 250 203
Ratios 2019 2020 2021
ROE % 9.75 9.36 9.90
ROCE % 4.81 4.14 5.08
Gross Margin % 28.1 28.3 29.1
EBITDA Margin % 18.4 17.6 17.7
EBIT Margin % 8.66 7.88 9.10
Net Margin % 5.63 5.74 6.41
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.73 3.33 2.53
Net Debt/Equity % 123 90.0 65.5
Cost of Financing % 1.91 1.15 0.735
Valuation 2019 2020 2021
Market Capitalisation USD mil 529 663 643
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil 832 913 846
Number Of Shares mil 46.7 46.7 45.9
Share Price USD 15.1 18.2 14.0
EV/EBITDA 10.2 12.2 10.5
EV/Sales 1.88 2.14 1.86
Price/Earnings (P/E) 22.5 26.8 17.5
Price/Book Value (P/BV) 2.87 3.07 2.07
Dividend Yield % 0 0 0

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overview Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
income statement                                      
Sales USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       355 380 402 436 442        
Gross Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       94.9 97.2 99.6 121 124        
EBIT USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       48.8 34.6 6.82 -9.46 38.3        
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       24.1 18.3 8.62 -8.99 24.9        
                                         
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     10.6 7.19 3.19 -3.33 9.75        
EBIT Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       13.8 9.11 1.70 -2.17 8.66        
Net Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       6.77 4.82 2.15 -2.06 5.63        
Employees ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 5,355 5,637 5,573 5,005     ... ...
balance sheet                                      
Total Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       461 471 443 450 625        
Non-Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       422 457 422 428 600        
Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       38.6 14.4 20.7 22.0 24.7        
                                         
Shareholders' Equity USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       245 265 275 265 246        
Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       216 206 168 185 379        
Non-Current Liabilities USD mil                     177 161 120 102 305        
Current Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       39.6 45.3 47.3 82.9 74.0        
                                         
Net Debt/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       1.90 2.02 3.40 8.04 3.73        
Net Debt/Equity % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       48.0 38.6 30.8 25.3 123        
Cost of Financing % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     2.59 2.79 3.34 4.18 1.91        
cash flow                                      
Total Cash From Operations USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       58.0 49.3 53.7 45.4 36.1        
Total Cash From Investing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -30.8 -35.2 -36.2 -27.8 -10.7        
Total Cash From Financing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -32.5 -18.0 -11.1 -19.2 -24.4        
Net Change In Cash USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -5.40 -3.93 6.38 -1.58 1.10        
valuation                                      
Market Capitalisation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   485 485 387 589 529        
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   603 587 471 656 832        
Number Of Shares mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       39.0 39.0 39.1 38.6 46.7        
Share Price USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   12.7 12.6 10.0 12.0 15.1        
Price/Earnings (P/E) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   20.5 26.8 45.5 -52.2 22.5        
Price/Cash Earnings (P/CE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   13.3 14.3 14.6 52.4 16.5        
EV/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   9.74 11.6 18.9 78.5 10.2        
Price/Book Value (P/BV) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   2.02 1.85 1.42 1.75 2.87        
Dividend Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
income statement Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
income statement                                      
Sales USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       355 380 402 436 442        
Cost of Goods & Services USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       260 283 302 315 318        
Gross Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       94.9 97.2 99.6 121 124        
Selling, General & Admin USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       42.9 49.4 54.0 66.4 56.5     ... ...
Research & Development USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Other Operating Expense USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -9.88 -2.87 20.6 46.2 11.7     ... ...
Other Operating Cost (Income) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
EBITDA USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       61.9 50.7 25.0 8.36 81.2        
Depreciation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   13.1 16.1 18.1 17.8 17.9        
EBIT USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       48.8 34.6 6.82 -9.46 38.3        
Net Financing Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       3.71 3.16 3.28 3.50 3.69        
Financing Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       3.76 3.18 3.30 3.50 3.69        
Financing Income USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.049 0.028 0.025 0 0     ... ...
FX (Gain) Loss USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
(Income) / Loss from Affiliates USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Extraordinary Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Pre-Tax Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       44.9 31.1 9.12 -12.2 34.6        
Tax USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       20.9 12.8 0.497 -3.21 9.68        
Minorities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       24.1 18.3 8.62 -8.99 24.9        
Net Profit Avail. to Common USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       24.1 18.3 8.62 -8.99 24.9        
Dividends USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
growth rates                                      
Total Revenue Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     2.96 7.06 5.68 8.50 1.49        
Operating Cost Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     5.31 35.6 48.3 40.5 -34.0     ... ...
EBITDA Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1.80 -18.1 -50.8 -66.5 871        
EBIT Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -0.933 -29.1 -80.3 -239 -505        
Pre-Tax Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -319 -30.7 -70.7 -234 -383        
Net Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -43.4 -23.8 -53.0 -204 -377        
ratios                                      
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     10.6 7.19 3.19 -3.33 9.75        
ROA % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     5.25 3.93 1.89 -2.01 4.63        
ROCE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     5.86 4.26 2.01 -2.13 4.81        
Gross Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       26.7 25.6 24.8 27.7 28.1        
EBITDA Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       17.4 13.3 6.21 1.92 18.4        
EBIT Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       13.8 9.11 1.70 -2.17 8.66        
Net Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       6.77 4.82 2.15 -2.06 5.63        
Payout Ratio % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Cost of Financing % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     2.59 2.79 3.34 4.18 1.91        
Net Debt/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       1.90 2.02 3.40 8.04 3.73        
balance sheet Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
balance sheet                                      
Cash & Cash Equivalents USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       6.10 2.17 8.55 6.97 8.07        
Receivables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 9.60 8.51        
Inventories USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       1.90 2.11 2.29 2.48 2.01        
Other ST Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       30.6 10.1 9.89 3.00 6.09        
Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       38.6 14.4 20.7 22.0 24.7        
Property, Plant & Equipment USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       103 118 103 104 284        
LT Investments & Receivables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Intangible Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       311 311 311 311 311        
Goodwill USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       249 249 249 249 249        
Non-Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       422 457 422 428 600        
Total Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       461 471 443 450 625        
                                         
Trade Payables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       11.0 11.6 12.3 9.56 5.63        
Short-Term Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.177 0.144 0.132 0.068 16.4        
Other ST Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       16.1 22.0 21.6 58.4 33.5        
Current Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       39.6 45.3 47.3 82.9 74.0        
Long-Term Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       123 104 93.2 74.1 295        
Other LT Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       53.4 56.5 27.3 28.0 10.7        
Non-Current Liabilities USD mil                     177 161 120 102 305        
Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       216 206 168 185 379        
Preferred Equity and Hybrid Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Share Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       370 372 373 376 331        
Treasury Stock USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Equity Before Minority Interest USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       245 265 275 265 246        
Minority Interest USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Equity USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       245 265 275 265 246        
growth rates                                      
Total Asset Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1.26 2.23 -6.07 1.70 38.8        
Shareholders' Equity Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     16.3 8.40 3.68 -3.53 -7.42        
Net Debt Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -23.8 -13.0 -17.1 -20.7 351        
Total Debt Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -25.5 -15.5 -10.7 -20.5 319        
ratios                                      
Total Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       124 104 93.3 74.2 311        
Net Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       118 102 84.8 67.2 303        
Working Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -9.15 -9.53 -10.0 2.51 4.89        
Capital Employed USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       413 447 412 431 605        
Net Debt/Equity % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       48.0 38.6 30.8 25.3 123        
Current Ratio ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.976 0.318 0.438 0.266 0.334        
Quick Ratio ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.154 0.048 0.181 0.200 0.224        
cash flow Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
cash flow                                      
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       24.1 18.3 8.62 -8.99 24.9        
Depreciation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   13.1 16.1 18.1 17.8 17.9        
Non-Cash Items USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       11.3 22.5 30.4 8.10 20.8        
Change in Working Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       9.50 -7.63 -3.49 28.5 -27.5        
Total Cash From Operations USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       58.0 49.3 53.7 45.4 36.1        
                                         
Capital Expenditures USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -30.8 -35.9 -36.2 -27.8 -10.7        
Net Change in LT Investment USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Net Cash From Acquisitions USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Other Investing Activities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0.743 0 0 0        
Total Cash From Investing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -30.8 -35.2 -36.2 -27.8 -10.7        
                                         
Dividends Paid USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0        
Issuance Of Shares USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       9.67 1.15 0.093 0.742 -47.3        
Issuance Of Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -42.2 -19.2 -11.1 -19.8 22.9        
Other Financing Activities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 -0.138 0     ... ...
Total Cash From Financing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -32.5 -18.0 -11.1 -19.2 -24.4        
                                         
Effect of FX Rates USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Net Change In Cash USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -5.40 -3.93 6.38 -1.58 1.10        
ratios                                      
Days Sales Outstanding days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 8.04 7.02        
Days Sales Of Inventory days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       2.66 2.72 2.77 2.87 2.31        
Days Payable Outstanding days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       15.5 15.0 14.9 11.1 6.46        
Cash Conversion Cycle days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -12.8 -12.3 -12.1 -0.172 2.87        
Cash Earnings USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   37.2 34.4 26.7 8.83 42.8        
Free Cash Flow USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       27.1 14.1 17.4 17.6 25.5        
Capital Expenditures (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       8.68 9.46 9.02 6.38 2.41        
other ratios Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
                                       
Employees ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 5,355 5,637 5,573 5,005     ... ...
Operating Cost (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       13.0 16.5 23.1 29.9 19.4     ... ...
Research & Development (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Effective Tax Rate % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       46.4 41.1 5.45 26.3 28.0        
Total Revenue Growth (5-year average) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 6.47 6.73 5.10        
Total Revenue Growth (10-year average) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...    
valuation Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
                                       
Market Capitalisation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   485 485 387 589 529        
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   603 587 471 656 832        
Number Of Shares mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       39.0 39.0 39.1 38.6 46.7        
Share Price USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   12.7 12.6 10.0 12.0 15.1        
EV/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   9.74 11.6 18.9 78.5 10.2        
Price/Earnings (P/E) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   20.5 26.8 45.5 -52.2 22.5        
Price/Cash Earnings (P/CE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   13.3 14.3 14.6 52.4 16.5        
P/FCF ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   18.2 34.9 22.4 26.2 27.6        
Price/Book Value (P/BV) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   2.02 1.85 1.42 1.75 2.87        
Dividend Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
Free Cash Flow Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   5.59 2.91 4.51 2.99 4.82        
Earnings Per Share (EPS) USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.620 0.470 0.220 -0.230 0.670        
Cash Earnings Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   0.952 0.881 0.684 0.229 0.915        
Free Cash Flow Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.695 0.361 0.446 0.457 0.545        
Book Value Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       6.27 6.79 7.03 6.88 5.25        
Dividend Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0     ... ...
EV/Sales ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   1.70 1.54 1.17 1.51 1.88        
EV/EBIT ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   12.4 17.0 69.1 -69.4 21.7        
EV/Free Cash Flow ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   22.2 41.6 27.0 37.2 32.7        
EV/Capital Employed ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...   1.46 1.31 1.14 1.52 1.37        
Earnings Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -50.0 -24.2 -53.2 -205 -391        
Cash Earnings Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... -39.4 -7.40 -22.3 -66.5 299        
Book Value Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     2.29 8.43 3.53 -2.25 -23.6        

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El Pollo Loco's Share Price fell 23.1% yoy to USD 14.0 in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco stock traded at USD 14.0 per share at the end 2021 implying a market capitalization of USD 643 mil. Since the end of 2016, stock has appreciated by 11.2% implying an annual average growth of 2.14% In absolute terms, the value of the company ...

El Pollo Loco's Net Debt/EBITDA fell 24.0% yoy to 2.53 in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco's net debt stood at USD 203 mil and accounted for 65.5% of equity at the end of 2021. The ratio is down 24.5 pp compared to the previous year. Historically, the firm’s net debt to equity reached a high of 561% in 2013 and a low of ...

El Pollo Loco's Capital Expenditures fell 86.6% yoy to USD 12.5 mil in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco invested a total of USD 12.5 mil in 2021, up 86.6% compared to the previous year. Historically, between 2012 - 2021, the company's investments stood at a high of USD 36.2 mil in 2017 and a low of USD 6.69 mil in 2020. As...

El Pollo Loco's Net Margin rose 11.6% yoy to 6.41% in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco made a net profit of USD 29.1 mil with revenues of USD 454 mil in 2021, up by 19.0% and up by 6.64%, respectively, compared to the previous year. This translates into a net margin of 6.41%. Historically, between 2012 and 2021, the firm...

El Pollo Loco's ROCE rose 22.7% yoy to 5.08% in 2021

By Helgi Analytics - May 11, 2022

El Pollo Loco made a net profit of USD 29.1 mil in 2021, up 19% compared to the previous year. Historically, between 2012 and 2021, the company's net profit reached a high of USD 42.5 mil in 2014 and a low of USD -16.9 mil in 2013. The result implies a re...

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El Pollo Loco Logo

Finance

El Pollo Loco has been growing its sales by 2.85% a year on average in the last 5 years. EBITDA has grown on average by 50.1% a year during that time to total of USD 63.8 mil in 2023, or 12.7% of sales. That’s compared to 15.5% average margin seen in last five years.

The company netted USD 33.1 mil in 2023 implying ROE of 9.43% and ROCE of 5.56%. Again, the average figures were 9.18% and 4.75%, respectively when looking at the previous 5 years.

El Pollo Loco’s net debt amounted to USD 223 mil at the end of 2023, or 60.8% of equity. When compared to EBITDA, net debt was 3.50x, up when compared to average of 3.43x seen in the last 5 years.

Valuation

El Pollo Loco stock traded at USD 10.6 per share at the end of 2023 resulting in a market capitalization of USD 487 mil. Over the previous five years, stock price fell by 11.5% or -2.41% a year on average. The closing price put stock at a 12-month trailing EV/EBITDA of 11.1x and price to earnings (PE) of 14.7x as of 2023.