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Shake Shack

Shake Shack's net profit rose 79.5% yoy to USD -8.66 mil in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack made a net profit of USD -8.66 mil with revenues of USD 740 mil in 2021, up by 79.5% and up by 41.5%, r...

Shake Shack's price/earnings (P/E) fell 328% yoy to -319 in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack stock traded at USD 70.1 per share at the end 2021 translating into a market capitalization of USD 2,949 mil. Since t...

Shake Shack's Capital Expenditures fell 47.0% yoy to USD 101 mil in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack invested a total of USD 101 mil in 2021, up 47% compared to the previous year. Historically, between 2012 - ...

Profit Statement 2025 2026 2027
Sales USD mil 1,490 1,534 1,803
Gross Profit USD mil 328 337 397
EBITDA USD mil 164 197 233
EBIT USD mil 58.1 100 109
Financing Cost USD mil 6.78 28.6 29.4
Pre-Tax Profit USD mil 51.4 71.7 79.6
Net Profit USD mil 43.0 81.2 82.5
Dividends USD mil 0 0 0
Balance Sheet 2025 2026 2027
Total Assets USD mil 1,563 1,596 1,630
Non-Current Assets USD mil 1,147 1,179 1,211
Current Assets USD mil 416 418 420
Working Capital USD mil -2.60 -2.63 -2.65
Shareholders' Equity USD mil 501 582 664
Liabilities USD mil 1,063 1,014 966
Total Debt USD mil 733 743 753
Net Debt USD mil 350 472 560
Ratios 2025 2026 2027
ROE % 8.97 15.0 13.2
ROCE % 3.80 7.00 6.92
Gross Margin % 22.0 22.0 22.0
EBITDA Margin % 11.0 12.8 12.9
EBIT Margin % 3.90 6.54 6.05
Net Margin % 2.88 5.29 4.58
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.14 2.39 2.40
Net Debt/Equity % 70.0 81.0 84.3
Cost of Financing % 0.931 3.88 3.93
Valuation 2025 2026 2027
Market Capitalisation USD mil 1,876 1,876 1,876
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil 2,226 2,348 2,436
Number Of Shares mil 39.1 39.1 39.1
Share Price USD 48.0 48.0 48.0
EV/EBITDA 13.6 11.9 10.5
EV/Sales 1.49 1.53 1.35
Price/Earnings (P/E) 43.7 23.1 22.7
Price/Book Value (P/BV) 3.75 3.22 2.82
Dividend Yield % 0 0 0

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overview Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
income statement                                              
Sales USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           359 459 595 523 740            
Gross Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           105 127 148 87.9 144            
EBIT USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           33.8 31.7 25.7 -43.9 -15.9            
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.320 15.2 19.8 -42.2 -8.66            
                                                 
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -0.150 6.10 6.66 -11.1 -1.99            
EBIT Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.42 6.90 4.32 -8.39 -2.14            
Net Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.089 3.30 3.33 -8.06 -1.17            
Employees ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       4,440 6,101 7,603 7,429 9,695 ... ... ... ... ... ...
balance sheet                                              
Total Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           471 611 968 1,145 1,458            
Non-Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           377 509 881 942 1,048            
Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           93.2 101 87.7 203 410            
                                                 
Shareholders' Equity USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           224 273 322 434 436            
Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           246 337 646 711 1,022            
Non-Current Liabilities USD mil                         212 277 547 601 900            
Current Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           34.0 59.9 99.4 110 121            
                                                 
Net Debt/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -1.44 -1.28 2.64 4.18 3.30            
Net Debt/Equity % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -35.6 -28.4 87.0 48.0 71.3            
Cost of Financing % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         24.0 35.1 0.239 0.219 0.291            
cash flow                                              
Total Cash From Operations USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           70.9 85.4 89.9 37.4 58.4            
Total Cash From Investing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -61.9 -86.6 -80.7 -69.4 -145            
Total Cash From Financing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0.965 4.45 3.18 142 242            
Net Change In Cash USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.90 3.24 12.3 110 156            
valuation                                              
Market Capitalisation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1,631 1,602 2,252 3,536 2,949            
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1,551 1,524 2,532 3,745 3,260            
Number Of Shares mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       25.9 29.2 32.3 37.1 39.1            
Share Price USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     44.3 43.2 60.0 84.9 70.1            
Price/Earnings (P/E) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -4,434 83.1 98.3 -74.4 -319            
Price/Cash Earnings (P/CE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     53.7 28.5 32.1 474 54.4            
EV/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     27.9 25.1 23.9 75.1 34.7            
Price/Book Value (P/BV) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     5.11 4.61 6.00 7.25 6.29            
Dividend Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     0 0 0 0 0            
income statement Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
income statement                                              
Sales USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           359 459 595 523 740            
Cost of Goods & Services USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           254 333 447 435 596            
Gross Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           105 127 148 87.9 144            
Selling, General & Admin USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           39.4 53.1 65.6 64.3 86.0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Research & Development USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Other Operating Expense USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.85 12.8 16.2 18.7 14.9 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Other Operating Cost (Income) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
EBITDA USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           55.5 60.7 106 49.8 94.0            
Depreciation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           21.7 29.0 40.4 48.8 59.0            
EBIT USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           33.8 31.7 25.7 -43.9 -15.9            
Net Financing Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1.57 2.41 0.434 0.815 1.58            
Financing Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1.64 2.42 0.434 0.815 1.58            
Financing Income USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0.078 0.008 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
FX (Gain) Loss USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Extraordinary Cost USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Pre-Tax Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           160 30.8 27.5 -45.5 -17.3            
Tax USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           151 8.86 3.39 0.057 -7.22 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Minorities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.20 6.77 4.30 -3.38 -1.46 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.320 15.2 19.8 -42.2 -8.66            
Net Profit Avail. to Common USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.320 15.2 19.8 -42.2 -8.66            
Dividends USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
growth rates                                              
Total Revenue Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         33.6 28.0 29.4 -12.1 41.5            
Operating Cost Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         29.9 33.8 28.8 7.82 21.3 ... ... ... ... ... ...
EBITDA Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         31.2 9.36 74.8 -53.1 88.7            
EBIT Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         21.6 -6.22 -19.0 -271 -63.9            
Pre-Tax Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         463 -80.8 -10.7 -265 -61.9            
Net Profit Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -103 -4,843 30.6 -313 -79.5            
ratios                                              
ROE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -0.150 6.10 6.66 -11.1 -1.99            
ROA % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -0.063 2.81 2.51 -3.99 -0.665            
ROCE % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -0.077 3.43 2.86 -4.66 -0.876            
Gross Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           29.2 27.6 24.9 16.8 19.5            
EBITDA Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           15.5 13.2 17.9 9.53 12.7            
EBIT Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.42 6.90 4.32 -8.39 -2.14            
Net Margin % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.089 3.30 3.33 -8.06 -1.17            
Payout Ratio % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Cost of Financing % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         24.0 35.1 0.239 0.219 0.291            
Net Debt/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -1.44 -1.28 2.64 4.18 3.30            
balance sheet Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
balance sheet                                              
Cash & Cash Equivalents USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           84.5 86.9 73.6 184 382            
Receivables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           5.64 10.5 9.97 9.46 13.7            
Inventories USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1.26 1.75 2.22 2.89 3.85            
Other ST Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1.76 1.98 1.88 7.07 9.76            
Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           93.2 101 87.7 203 410            
Property, Plant & Equipment USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           187 262 589 643 737            
LT Investments & Receivables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Intangible Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Goodwill USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Non-Current Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           377 509 881 942 1,048            
Total Assets USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           471 611 968 1,145 1,458            
                                                 
Trade Payables USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           8.21 12.5 14.3 23.5 19.9            
Short-Term Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           4.65 9.09 45.0 44.9 44.9            
Other ST Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           2.94 3.59 2.64 3.28 3.88            
Current Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           34.0 59.9 99.4 110 121            
Long-Term Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 309 347 648            
Other LT Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           212 277 238 254 253            
Non-Current Liabilities USD mil                         212 277 547 601 900            
Liabilities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           246 337 646 711 1,022            
Preferred Equity and Hybrid Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Share Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           153 196 244 395 406            
Treasury Stock USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0            
Equity Before Minority Interest USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           169 226 299 407 410            
Minority Interest USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           55.0 47.4 23.2 27.2 26.1            
Equity USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           224 273 322 434 436            
growth rates                                              
Total Asset Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         -12.6 29.7 58.6 18.3 27.3            
Shareholders' Equity Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         11.5 21.8 17.7 34.9 0.255            
Net Debt Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...         23.6 -2.65 -460 -25.5 48.9            
Total Debt Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -48.4 95.4 3,789 10.9 76.6            
ratios                                              
Total Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           4.65 9.09 354 392 693            
Net Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -79.9 -77.8 280 208 310            
Working Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -1.31 -0.195 -2.11 -11.1 -2.44            
Capital Employed USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           376 509 878 931 1,045            
Net Debt/Equity % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -35.6 -28.4 87.0 48.0 71.3            
Current Ratio ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           2.74 1.69 0.882 1.85 3.37            
Quick Ratio ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           2.65 1.62 0.841 1.76 3.26            
cash flow Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
cash flow                                              
Net Profit USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.320 15.2 19.8 -42.2 -8.66            
Depreciation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           21.7 29.0 40.4 48.8 59.0            
Non-Cash Items USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           36.5 20.0 2.91 28.0 4.55            
Change in Working Capital USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           13.0 21.2 26.7 2.68 3.52            
Total Cash From Operations USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           70.9 85.4 89.9 37.4 58.4            
                                                 
Capital Expenditures USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -61.5 -87.5 -107 -69.0 -101            
Net Change in LT Investment USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -0.410 0.921 25.8 -0.359 -43.4 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Net Cash From Acquisitions USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Other Investing Activities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Total Cash From Investing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -61.9 -86.6 -80.7 -69.4 -145            
                                                 
Dividends Paid USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0            
Issuance Of Shares USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           7.27 4.52 7.81 151 3.18            
Issuance Of Debt USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 -1.93 -2.21 241            
Other Financing Activities USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -6.31 -0.071 -2.70 -7.19 -2.21 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Total Cash From Financing USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0.965 4.45 3.18 142 242            
                                                 
Effect of FX Rates USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Net Change In Cash USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           9.90 3.24 12.3 110 156            
ratios                                              
Days Sales Outstanding days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           5.74 8.36 6.12 6.61 6.74            
Days Sales Of Inventory days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           1.81 1.92 1.82 2.42 2.36            
Days Payable Outstanding days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           11.8 13.7 11.7 19.7 12.2            
Cash Conversion Cycle days ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           -4.25 -3.40 -3.75 -10.7 -3.12            
Cash Earnings USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           21.4 44.2 60.2 6.64 50.3            
Free Cash Flow USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           8.94 -1.21 9.17 -32.0 -86.5            
Capital Expenditures (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           17.1 19.1 17.9 13.2 13.7            
other ratios Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
                                               
Employees ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       4,440 6,101 7,603 7,429 9,695 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Operating Cost (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           19.8 20.7 20.6 25.2 21.6 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Research & Development (As % of Sales) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           0 0 0 0 0 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Effective Tax Rate % ... ... ... ... ... ... ...           94.5 28.8 12.3 -0.125 41.7 ... ... ... ... ... ...
Total Revenue Growth (5-year average) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 44.5 41.0 38.1 22.4 22.5            
Total Revenue Growth (10-year average) % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...            
valuation Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
                                               
Market Capitalisation USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1,631 1,602 2,252 3,536 2,949            
Enterprise Value (EV) USD mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1,551 1,524 2,532 3,745 3,260            
Number Of Shares mil ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       25.9 29.2 32.3 37.1 39.1            
Share Price USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     44.3 43.2 60.0 84.9 70.1            
EV/EBITDA ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     27.9 25.1 23.9 75.1 34.7            
Price/Earnings (P/E) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -4,434 83.1 98.3 -74.4 -319            
Price/Cash Earnings (P/CE) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     53.7 28.5 32.1 474 54.4            
P/FCF ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     128 -1,043 211 -98.3 -31.7            
Price/Book Value (P/BV) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     5.11 4.61 6.00 7.25 6.29            
Dividend Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     0 0 0 0 0            
Free Cash Flow Yield % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     0.548 -0.075 0.407 -0.906 -2.93            
Earnings Per Share (EPS) USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       -0.010 0.520 0.610 -1.14 -0.220            
Cash Earnings Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.826 1.51 1.87 0.179 1.29            
Free Cash Flow Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0.345 -0.041 0.284 -0.863 -2.21            
Book Value Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       8.68 9.37 9.98 11.7 11.1            
Dividend Per Share USD ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...       0 0 0 0 0            
EV/Sales ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     4.32 3.32 4.26 7.16 4.41            
EV/EBIT ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     45.9 48.1 98.6 -85.3 -206            
EV/Free Cash Flow ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     174 -1,261 276 -117 -37.7            
EV/Capital Employed ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     4.12 2.99 2.88 4.02 3.12            
Earnings Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -102 -5,300 17.3 -287 -80.7            
Cash Earnings Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     -28.1 83.2 23.3 -90.4 620            
Book Value Per Share Growth % ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...     1.03 8.03 6.53 17.2 -4.76            

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Shake Shack's P/FCF rose 67.8% yoy to -31.7 in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack stock traded at USD 70.1 per share at the end 2021 translating into a market capitalization of USD 2,949 mil. Since the end of 2016, the stock has appreciated by 90.4% representing an annual average growth of 13.7%. At the end of 2021, the fi...

Shake Shack's Net Debt/EBITDA fell 21.1% yoy to 3.30 in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack's net debt stood at USD 310 mil and accounted for 71.3% of equity at the end of 2021. The ratio is up 23.3 pp compared to the previous year. Historically, the firm’s net debt to equity reached a high of 235% in 2014 and a low of -...

Shake Shack's ROCE rose 81.2% yoy to -0.876% in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack made a net profit of USD -8.66 mil in 2021, up 79.5% compared to the previous year. Historically, between 2012 and 2021, the company's net profit reached a high of USD 19.8 mil in 2019 and a low of USD -42.2 mil in 2020. The result implies a r...

Shake Shack's Net Margin rose 85.5% yoy to -1.17% in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack made a net profit of USD -8.66 mil with revenues of USD 740 mil in 2021, up by 79.5% and up by 41.5%, respectively, compared to the previous year. This translates into a net margin of -1.17%. Historically, between 2012 and 2021, the firm...

Shake Shack's Share Price fell 17.4% yoy to USD 70.1 in 2021

By Helgi Library - May 11, 2022

Shake Shack stock traded at USD 70.1 per share at the end 2021 implying a market capitalization of USD 2,949 mil. Since the end of 2016, stock has appreciated by 90.4% implying an annual average growth of 13.7% In absolute terms, the value of the company ...

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Finance

Shake Shack has been growing its sales by 13.8% a year on average in the last 5 years. EBITDA has grown on average by 26.9% a year during that time to total of USD 233 mil in 2027, or 12.9% of sales. That’s compared to 11.4% average margin seen in last five years.

The company netted USD 82.5 mil in 2027 implying ROE of 13.2% and ROCE of 6.92%. Again, the average figures were 9.39% and 4.32%, respectively when looking at the previous 5 years.

Shake Shack’s net debt amounted to USD 560 mil at the end of 2027, or 84.3% of equity. When compared to EBITDA, net debt was 2.40x, down when compared to average of 2.44x seen in the last 5 years.

Valuation

Shake Shack stock traded at USD 48.0 per share at the end of 2027 resulting in a market capitalization of USD 1,876 mil. Over the previous five years, stock price grew by 0% or 0% a year on average. The closing price put stock at a 12-month trailing EV/EBITDA of 10.5x and price to earnings (PE) of 22.7x as of 2027.