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Komercni Banka - Analysis of Mortgage Lending in 1Q13


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More data on The Czech Republic.

This report analyses the housing lending in the Czech Republic for the 1Q2013. You will find all the necessary details regarding volume growth (for both, the mortgage as well as Building Society lending), market share, margin and asset quality development in the mortgage segment. Also, based on the example of Hypotecni Banka, we calculate profitability of the mortgage busines for each bank.

This report focuses specifically on development in Komercni Banka in the 1Q2013. The key highlights are:

Housing lending momentum deteriorates...

Komerční Banka’s mortgage loans increased 0.8% qoq and 7.3% yoy in 1Q13, slightly more than the overall market. On the other hand, the loans provided by Modrá Pyramida (Komerční’s building society) dropped a further 2.1% qoq or 6.3% yoy in 1Q13.

...and the bank stopped gaining market share

Komerční banka has been growing faster than the market throughout the years 2011 and 2012. In 1Q13, the bank took a breather losing 3 bp, so was holding 19.0% of all Czech mortgage loans at the end of March, according to our calculations (see chart 62 on page 18).

The bank clearly benefits from its superior funding and capital positions when compared to the smaller players.

Having said that, the bank has not been as aggressive as its peers ČSOB and Česká Spořitelna in the most recent quarters. This is in particularly visible when we look at quarterly sales of new mortgage loans, where Komerční’s market share is some 5-10% lower than that of its peers.

In addition, 1Q13 was another quarter, when the bank sold fewer mortgages than a year ago. The gap to its two main rivals Česká Spořitelna and ČSOB seems rising again:

Mortgage lending – 14% of Komerční’s profit?

Mortgage loans represented 29.8% of Komerční’s total loans at the end of March 2013. That is up from the figure of 15% seen a decade ago, implying an impressive annual growth of 22%.

The massive growth in volumes made a difference to the bottom line of the bank. When Hypoteční banka’s financials are taken as a benchmark (for more details see page 9), we believe mortgage lending business generates around 14% of Komerční Banka’s overall profitability now. 

This is less than the 24% of Raiffeisenbank and 20% of ČSOB, but more than the 12% we calculated for Česká Spořitelna in 2012.

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June 16, 2013 Helgi Analytics

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